Easy horse racing level system for betting on horses and handicapped horse racing
What follows is a quite simple method, however I current it right here to exhibit how vital it’s to make use of a methodical method, a system if you’ll, to betting on horses and handicapping horse races. Many individuals spend hours poring over a racing program or fidgeting with difficult software program to search out the winner of the race(s) they intend to play. The problem of discovering a winner on this mental incapacity sport might be enjoyable and entertaining, however let me allow you to in on just a little secret. Whereas it is vital to have enjoyable whereas taking part in races, it is equally vital to make a revenue or a minimum of break even so you’ll be able to proceed taking part in races.
So with the revenue angle in thoughts, and it ought to all the time be someplace in your thoughts, even when it is neatly tucked away within the again when you’re busy having enjoyable, let’s take a look at a barely completely different solution to discover the winner. This is tips on how to discover the actual winner of the race. Shortly after the race ends, watch the brief line of individuals cashing in on race tickets. The winner is someplace within the line. Discover I did not say everybody who redeemed the tickets was a winner? You’d prefer to know why ? For those who’re a handicapper or knowledgeable participant, you already know why, proper?
The rationale not everybody who cashes in tickets is a winner is as a result of a few of them have overspent on their bets or mismanaged their cash. Now please learn this rigorously and contemplate what I write. The winner is the one who makes a revenue on his wager by discovering worthwhile bets. {Most professional} handicappers aren’t searching for winners, they’re searching for good bets, and there is a world of distinction. Whereas many individuals are good at choosing winners, the professionals are good at choosing winners who pay sufficient in order that in the long term they’re worthwhile bets. In different phrases, skilled handicappers are good at betting on horses and handicapping horse races.
The aim of the next train, horse racing system, is to get you considering by way of the percentages and deserves of every horse within the race. Strive it a number of instances on paper and have enjoyable with it. It is not meant to be a giant cash maker, only a solution to begin the “monetary handicap” course of. I counsel you to apply it to races with older horses with a whole lot of begins, maiden races are to be prevented for this train.
Earlier than we go any additional, let’s subtract 20%, the typical observe output, or vig, from 100 so we find yourself with 80.
Let’s begin with the dimensions of the sector. Divide 80 by the dimensions of the sector to find out the worth of every issue. For instance, if there are 8 horses within the race, 80 divided by 8 equals 10. Now convert the reply to percentages, so 10 is 10%. Every issue is now price 10%. We are going to name it a “unit”.
Now let’s listing the elements…
1. Class
Decide the category horse within the race by considered one of two strategies,
A. if the horse has had a minimum of 5 races within the yr, divide the horse’s complete earnings for the yr by the variety of races it has run.
b. if the horse has not had 5 races for the present yr, divide its complete earnings by the overall variety of begins.
The horse with the very best common earnings per begin is the category horse.
2. Consistency
Decide consistency by submerging the overall variety of begins by the variety of wins.
3.Jockey
Decide the very best jockey by his successful proportion
4. Coach
Decide the very best coach by his successful proportion
5. Velocity
If velocity scores can be found, the very best velocity score up to now 60 days is finest or, if velocity scores should not out there, the quickest time over distance and space ( 6f on land, and so forth.)
6. final gear
Highest velocity index or finest time within the final race.
Now undergo your listing of runners and after figuring out the above elements for every runner, assign percentages as follows…
1. every issue is price one unit so the horse with the very best class wins 10%. The identical is true for every of the opposite elements. Subsequently, it’s attainable for a horse that has all the above elements to win 80%, however it is extremely uncommon for a horse to qualify for all the elements.
Now let’s discuss cash and honest betting. When you assign a proportion to every horse, you will note that some have the next proportion than others. Time to transform these percentages into honest bets or odds.
Odds are decided by changing the share to a fraction after which evaluating it to the desk beneath. A horse with 50% for instance (which many individuals would contemplate a positive factor) could be 1/2. Which means that the horse ought to win half the time. So, trying on the desk, we see {that a} wager that will pay out greater than $4.00 (for each $2 wager on the horse) could be a worthwhile wager.
Honest odds in proportion
80% 2-5
70% 3-5
60% 4-5
50% 1-1
40% 8-5
30% 2-1
20% 4-1
10% 9-1
A horse that had 30% could be roughly 1/3.33 (rounded as much as the closest complete quantity in order that 3.33 turns into 3), that means it might win a few third of the time. Wanting on the chart, we see {that a} horse that may win a 3rd of the time (30%) is price a wager if it pays greater than $6 for each $2 wager on it.
The subsequent step is to look at the percentages and when there are two minutes or much less left on the clock, place a wager on a horse provided that it reveals that it’ll present a revenue if it wins.
Now here’s a tip for betting on horses. Most experts will not take a brief value on a horse, regardless of how good it appears. Personally, I like to recommend that you simply by no means place a wager on a horse that goes lower than 2-1. Lengthy expertise has proven me that it’s merely not worthwhile regardless of what the numbers on paper present. As everyone knows, simply because one thing appears good on paper would not essentially imply it should work in actual life.
Do that little system for enjoyable, then use the identical method with a extra exact system to handicap horse racing and you will quickly be an actual winner.
me
break-even